Friday, April 30, 2010

Josh likes Super Saver

Every year, I like to take a look at the Kentucky Derby and pick my horses, whether I have money on the race or not. With big name horses like Zenyatta and Endorsement not participating, it’s a wide-open field.

Lookin At Lucky is the odds favorite to win the 136th Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs Saturday, but the horse drew the rail. The inside post could hurt the 3-1 favorite, who took third at the Santa Anita Derby and won the Rebel Stakes and CashCall Futurity.

So I’m going to look elsewhere for my winner. Sidney’s Candy (5-1), Awesome Act (10-1), Devil May Care (10-1), Ice Box (10-1) and Super Saver (15-1) are all tempting.

I’ll pass on Sidney’s Candy, who drew the outside post. It takes a strong horse to win from the outside, am I’m not convinced Sidney’s Candy is the caliber horse that Big Brown was two years ago.

Devil May Care got a good draw at the 11 post, but I’m not sure this filly can perform at the level Rachel Alexandra did at the Preakness in 2009. Rachel Alexandra was an incredibly strong horse that could take on the males in the field.

Ice Box and Super Saver are in tight against the rail and will have to get out to good starts.

Ice Box (who is not the girl for Little Giants by the way) has been running well and won the Florida Derby in March. Awesome Act won at the Gotham Stakes in March.

Super Saver won at the Kentucky Jockey Club in November. He placed third in the Tampa Bay Derby in the March and took second at the Arkansas Derby April 10. I like Super Saver to win the Run for the Roses.

The horse has experienced jockey Calvin Borel riding him. Borel won the Derby and Preakness last year on two different horses (Mine That Bird and Rachel Alexandra). He’s a smart jockey who knows how to race. He’ll have to get his horse through some traffic early though and hang on.

My picks:

1. Super Saver (15-1)

2. Awesome Act (10-1)

3. Devil May Care (10-1)

Sleeper – Jackson Bend (15-1)

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